FiveThirtyEight Politics

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Episodes

Date Title & Description Contributors
2024-11-14

  A 'Realignment' Among Latino Voters

Latino voters made a big jump to the right this election cycle. While the numbers aren’t final, AP Votecast reports an 8-point shift and Edison exit polls indicate more than a 14-point swing. Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, joins us on the p...
  ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke author
2024-11-11

  The Best And Worst Post-Election Hot Takes

Since Election Day, there’s been no shortage of hot takes explaining what happened and what it all means. Have Democrats lost the working class? Does President-elect Donald Trump have an unprecedentedly powerful mandate? Were the polls wrong? On this e...
  ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke author
2024-11-06

  Donald Trump Wins The Presidency

In this late-night, election-night edition of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew reacts to the results showing Donald Trump winning a second presidential term. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
  ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke author
2024-11-05

  An Hour-By-Hour Guide To Election Night

At long last, Election Day is upon us. In this final pre-results episode, the crew shares a guide for what to expect on election night — from the first poll closures in Indiana, to the last poll closures in Alaska. They set expectations for how long th...
  ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke author
2024-11-04

  The Pollercoaster Takes A Final Plunge

Polls were coming in hot and heavy over the weekend! In fact, 164 surveys were entered into the 538 database since Friday. In this Election Day eve episode of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen Druke speaks with senior researcher Mary Radcliffe and New Yo...
  ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke author
2024-10-31

  Galen’s Cauldron Of Queries

It’s not just election season; it’s spooky season, too. In this Halloween installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew opens up the mailbag and answers listeners’ questions. Does favorability matter? Can bad weather affect turnout? And what would ...
  ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke author
2024-10-30

  Will 2024 Be A Disputed Election?

Looking back on the 2020 election, the time between Election Day and Inauguration Day stands out as one of the most fraught and uncertain in recent American history. Will 2024 follow a similar path? In this episode of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen ta...
  ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke author
2024-10-28

  Do Voters Care About Democracy?

Last week, John Kelly, former President Donald Trump’s longest-serving chief of staff, said Trump fit the definition of a “fascist.” Democrats have seized on the comment, using it to underline Trump’s anti-democratic tendencies in these final days befo...
  ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke author
2024-10-24

  The Most Valuable Data Point

We are awash in data. As Election Day draws near, and new polls continue to pile up, our information overload will only intensify. So today on the 538 Politics podcast, we’re simplifying. We asked 11 very smart people just one question: What is the mos...
  ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke author
2024-10-23

  How the Diploma Divide Took Over Our Politics

For decades, Republicans were thought of as the country club set, while Democrats were the party of the working class. But increasingly, education has become a larger dividing line in American politics than economic status. This trend has seen college-...
  ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke author