FiveThirtyEight Politics

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Episodes

Date Title & Description Contributors
2024-05-02

  Why Voters Are Down On The Economy, In Their Own Words

For much of Joe Biden’s presidency, political observers have puzzled over a disconnect between economic indicators and consumer sentiment. Unemployment is low, growth has been persistent and inflation is receding. Yet, the vibes aren’t great. In this i...
  ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke author
2024-04-29

  A Tale Of Two Trump Trials

Former president Donald Trump’s legal saga reached two major milestones last week. In Manhattan, former National Enquirer publisher David Pecker testified about a “catch and kill” scheme that prosecutors say was meant to help Trump win the 2016 preside...
  ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke author
2024-04-25

  538's New Polling Averages Show Close Presidential Race

The 538 presidential general election polling averages are officially live! That means no more poll-by-poll whiplash; for a sense of the state of the race nationally and in the battleground states, head to abcnews.com/538. In this installment of the 53...
  ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke author
2024-04-22

  Are Mike Johnson’s Days Numbered?

After months of conflict over whether or how to aid American allies abroad, the House passed a slate of bills providing funding for Ukraine, Israel, Gazan humanitarian assistance and Taiwan. Each bill won a clear bipartisan majority, but a slim majorit...
  ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke author
2024-04-18

  In Trump Trial, Jury Selection Is Part Politics

The jury selection process is still underway in former President Donald Trump's Manhattan criminal trial. In order to get on the jury, Manhattanites responded to a questionnaire with 42 questions ranging from whether they belong to QAnon or Antifa to w...
  ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke author
2024-04-15

  The Political Stakes Of Trump's First Trial

Monday marked the start of the first-ever criminal trial of a former president. The case — one of potentially four trials facing former President Donald Trump — revolves around alleged hush money payments made to Stormy Daniels to try to conceal damagi...
  ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke author
2024-04-11

  What's Up With The Kids These Days?

In the 2020 election, young voters were key to President Joe Biden’s victory. Biden won voters age 18 to 29 by more than 20 points, and the turnout rate among young voters was the highest it has been in decades. But recent polls show Biden slipping amo...
  ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke author
2024-04-08

  Tim Scott Is The Leading Trump VP Contender

On this solar eclipse day installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew tests their polling knowledge on the rare celestial event with a special edition of “Guess What Americans Think.” They also preview 538’s new Swing-O-Matic, a tool that lets yo...
  ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke author
2024-04-04

  Where Will People Commune In A Godless America?

Americans are becoming less religious and two new surveys out just last week punctuate just how quickly that’s happening. According to the Public Religion Research Institute, 26 percent of Americans now consider themselves unaffiliated with any religio...
  ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke author
2024-04-01

  The Presidential Election Has Become An Unpopularity Contest

In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen and the crew talk about air travel and how Americans feel about flying in a game of “Guess What Americans Think.” They also weigh if the U.S. Census Bureau’s new way of collecting data on race and ...
  ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke author